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EUR/CHF comment
<![CDATA[The unit did a very good job in holding the bullish MA&#8217;s cross overnight (it looked like a new false cross would take place after Friday&#8217;s sell-off), and this might push the unit towards its extreme OB level 1.6220 and close to key dynamic resistance level 1.6230-40. ]]>

Retailers mixed, paring GBP and EUR shorts
<![CDATA[Retailers are still inclined for more USD gains as ratios show more USD longs than shorts. However, those ratios have changed quite considerably over the last 24hrs after the intense USD rally of this morning. I believe we&#8217;ll see another flip in market sentiment if USD progresses further, with some serious stops being targeted afterwards. ]]>

No rate hikes in prospect for the UK - Sunday Times
<![CDATA[According to the Sunday Times article: &#8220;The BoE&#8217;s message on interest rates in recent days was intended to be neutral, sources say, and not a signal that the MPC is contemplating early rate rises&#8221;. Sentance says: &#8220;Businesses and consumers are feeling the squeeze from higher fuel and food prices, while the difficulties in the banking]]>

Backfiring continues
<![CDATA[EUR/USD is testing 200SMA 30m chart @ 1.5535, and a break should see a test of the broken trendline @ 1.5560-65. USD/CHF so far is holding above the broken downtrend line @ 1.0420, a break lower should see 1.0370-75 coming into play. GBP/USD is the lagger of this move, as the unit is STILL trading]]>

The IFO &#8216;think tank&#8217; does not support an ECB rate hike - Bloomberg
<![CDATA[A possible interest rate hike by the European Central Bank &#8220;doesn&#8217;t make much sense,&#8221; as high energy and food prices are unlikely to trigger broad-based inflation amid a cooling economy, Ifo think-tank economist Gernot Nerb told Bloomberg TV Monday. Nerb said the ECB isn&#8217;t capable of controlling the volatile pricing of food and energy products and]]>

Final tech comments
<![CDATA[Technically speaking, USD/CHF is looking good for a recovery (good pattern), and Cable is definitely paying off the bearish MACD divergence in the 30m chart from 1.9755. Again, these 2 pairs, despite the overall craziness, are responding pretty well to techs. * There are some indicators that I look at (not for direct trading, but that]]>

At the Close. Traders challenging CBs&#8230; really?
<![CDATA[The week comes to an end with a serious liquidation of USD positions, who has seen big losses vs EUR, CHF and somewhat important vs GBP as well, while it has remained less heavily sold vs JPY. If you would&#8217;ve asked me what I thought the closing price for the EUR/USD would be on Sunday, I]]>

And here goes the backfiring&#8230;
<![CDATA[USD/CHF is up nicely from 1.0310, and both Cable and Euro are easing off the price liquidation seen earlier on. Best performer, and the one I&#8217;d choose to go for contras now is the Swissy, but take a look at Cable&#8217;s 30m confirmed MACD divergence, that may give some extra pips as well. 1.9730 break]]>

USD liquidated vs old Europeans
<![CDATA[What a rush in EUR/USD and USD/CHF&#8230; the 2 units are trading way out of bounds with the USD way oversold at the moment against the 2, and with Cable so far not following the move (bearish divergence still possible there&#8230;). Very much the opposite as seen yesterday, and certainly too much too fast for]]>

Markets at this hour
<![CDATA[The USD continues under severe pressure vs the Europeans, in a rather one-sided, sometimes very liquidative market. The USD should correct its extreme OS condition vs the CHF, but again, today is Friday and nothing is guaranteed, but definitely going short the USD is rather risky at current levels. The Euro is easing a bit at]]>

Trade Idea: USD/JPY
<![CDATA[As it seems the market still holds up above 107.40, am trying half long @ 107.44, stop 106.94, target 108.04. ]]>


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