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Japanese Yen: Speculation for Intervention to Intensify Ahead of BoJ

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Japanese Yen: Speculation for Intervention to Intensify Ahead of BoJ

Fundamental Forecast for Japanese Yen: Bearish

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The Japanese Yen continued to pare the sharp rally from February, with the USD/JPY crossing back above the 50-Day SMA (90.44) to reach a fresh monthly high of 91.08, and the exchange rate looks poised to test the 200-Day SMA (91.86) over the following week as Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama pledges to temper the appreciation in the low-yielding currency. At the same time, Finance Minister Naoto Kan said that the government stands ready to intervene in the currency markets during a speech in front of the Diet, while Deputy Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda argued that the economy remains “in a mild deflationary state” and assured to “pay attention” to the Bank of Japan interest rate decision next week as policy makers aim to balance the risks for the economy.

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